2026-27 projection
77
GP
29
G
32
A
61
Pts
14
PPP
155
SOG
200
Hits
60
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 33Expected 61Ceiling 86
Goals
Floor 16Expected 28Ceiling 40
Assists
Floor 17Expected 32Ceiling 47
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 18.4% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±6.2 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 62 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 77 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±9 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 17:12 | 2:12 | 61 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 0 |
| 2025-26 | 72 | 30 | 32 | 62 | 153 | 19.6 | 12 | 19:30 | 2:48 | 53 | 179 | 53 | 117 | 15 |
| 2024-25 | 81 | 33 | 32 | 65 | 169 | 19.5 | 17 | 18:42 | 2:48 | — | 233 | 71 | 100 | 20 |
| 2023-24 | 74 | 18 | 17 | 35 | 169 | 10.7 | 10 | 18:06 | 2:12 | — | 228 | 74 | 133 | -19 |
| 2022-23 | 33 | 13 | 9 | 22 | 82 | 15.9 | 5 | 17:36 | 1:42 | — | 97 | 30 | 78 | -13 |
| 2021-22 | 78 | 24 | 28 | 52 | 151 | 15.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 98 | 13 | |
| 2020-21 | 47 | 13 | 20 | 33 | 83 | 15.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 96 | 1 | |
| 2019-20 | 68 | 21 | 23 | 44 | 154 | 13.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 93 | -3 | |
| 2018-19 | 63 | 22 | 18 | 40 | 130 | 16.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 128 | 11 | |
| 2017-18 | 78 | 14 | 21 | 35 | 123 | 11.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 187 | 10 | |
| 2016-17 | 82 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 95 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 133 | 9 | |
| 2015-16 | 82 | 7 | 16 | 23 | 99 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 163 | 3 | |
| 2014-15 | 67 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 79 | 5.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 172 | -1 | |
| 2013-14 | 82 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 63 | 4.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 151 | 1 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
