2026-27 projection
75
GP
6
G
22
A
28
Pts
5
PPP
108
SOG
21
Hits
107
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 13Expected 28Ceiling 42
Goals
Floor 2Expected 6Ceiling 10
Assists
Floor 11Expected 22Ceiling 32
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 5.2% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±3 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 60 (injury), ceiling 81 (full health) vs 75 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±6.2 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 50.0 | 0 | 21:18 | 2:12 | 32 | 45 | 2 | 4 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.2 | +0.8 | 3 |
| 2025-26 | 67 | 5 | 21 | 26 | 100 | 5.0 | 4 | 21:36 | 1:36 | 35 | 32 | 12 | 103 | 58 | — | — | — | 5.3 | -0.3 | 3 |
| 2024-25 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 8.6 | 1 | 20:54 | 2:12 | — | — | 5 | 17 | 4 | — | — | — | 1.6 | +1.4 | -4 |
| 2023-24 | 73 | 3 | 23 | 26 | 99 | 3.0 | 5 | 23:18 | 1:24 | — | — | 49 | 100 | 63 | — | — | — | 5.4 | -2.4 | 18 |
| 2022-23 | 80 | 10 | 43 | 53 | 158 | 6.3 | 17 | 23:12 | 2:24 | — | — | 78 | 100 | 56 | — | — | — | 9.2 | +0.8 | 49 |
| 2021-22 | 71 | 5 | 22 | 27 | 142 | 3.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | |
| 2020-21 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | -1 | |
| 2019-20 | 56 | 2 | 21 | 23 | 109 | 1.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | -10 | |
| 2018-19 | 76 | 6 | 22 | 28 | 125 | 4.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | -5 | |
| 2017-18 | 69 | 13 | 18 | 31 | 131 | 9.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | |
| 2016-17 | 66 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 94 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | 13 | |
| 2015-16 | 80 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 149 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | |
| 2014-15 | 78 | 7 | 27 | 34 | 107 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | 25 | |
| 2013-14 | 78 | 6 | 24 | 30 | 116 | 5.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | 29 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
