Morgan Rielly
D2026-27 projection
78
GP
0.11
G
0.37
A
0.48
Pts
0.12
PPP
1.67
SOG
0.48
Hits
1.49
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 18Expected 37Ceiling 55
Goals
Floor 4Expected 8Ceiling 13
Assists
Floor 15Expected 29Ceiling 42
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 6.2% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±3.5 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 62 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 78 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±8.1 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 78 | 11 | 25 | 36 | 141 | 6 | 29 | -18 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 7 | 34 | 41 | 126 | 14 | 21 | -8 |
| 2023-24 | 72 | 7 | 51 | 58 | 173 | 20 | 27 | 7 |
| 2022-23 | 65 | 4 | 37 | 41 | 126 | 17 | 21 | -9 |
| 2021-22 | 82 | 10 | 58 | 68 | 221 | 40 | 16 | |
| 2020-21 | 55 | 5 | 30 | 35 | 101 | 14 | 11 | |
| 2019-20 | 47 | 3 | 24 | 27 | 123 | 24 | 6 | |
| 2018-19 | 82 | 20 | 52 | 72 | 223 | 14 | 24 | |
| 2017-18 | 76 | 6 | 46 | 52 | 182 | 14 | -4 | |
| 2016-17 | 76 | 6 | 21 | 27 | 171 | 21 | -20 | |
| 2015-16 | 82 | 9 | 27 | 36 | 167 | 28 | -17 | |
| 2014-15 | 81 | 8 | 21 | 29 | 148 | 14 | -16 | |
| 2013-14 | 73 | 2 | 25 | 27 | 96 | 12 | -13 |