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Morgan Rielly

Morgan Rielly

DTOR · age 32 · 2022-23 · drafted 2012 by TOR, round 1, #5 overallCompare with…
80
GP
0.11
G
0.37
A
0.47
Pts
0.12
PPP
1.67
SOG
0.48
Hits
1.49
Blk
Points
Floor 19Expected 38Ceiling 55
Goals
Floor 4Expected 8Ceiling 13
Assists
Floor 15Expected 29Ceiling 41
What moves the range:
  • Shooting %: expected 6.4% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±3.6 (pure luck).
  • Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
  • Games played: floor assumes 64 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 80 expected.
  • Linemates: assist swing of ±8.3 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
BasicEverything
ScoringIce timePhysical
SeasonGPGAPSOGSH%PPPTOIPP TOIPP%HITBLKPIM+/-
2026-27303330.0119:542:2432230-2
2025-26781125361417.8621:062:18523511429-18
2024-2582734411265.61421:241:48—2113121-8
2023-2472751581734.02023:422:36—98137277
2022-2365437411263.21721:423:00—708521-9
2021-22821058682214.5—————4016
2020-2155530351015.0—————1411
2019-2047324271232.4—————246
2018-19822052722239.0—————1424
2017-1876646521823.3—————14-4
2016-1776621271713.5—————21-20
2015-1682927361675.4—————28-17
2014-1581821291485.4—————14-16
2013-147322527962.1—————12-13

Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.

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