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Morgan Rielly

Morgan Rielly

DTOR · age 32 · 2025-26 · drafted 2012 by TOR, round 1, #5 overallCompare with…
80
GP
9
G
29
A
38
Pts
9
PPP
134
SOG
39
Hits
119
Blk
Points
Floor 19Expected 38Ceiling 55
Goals
Floor 4Expected 8Ceiling 13
Assists
Floor 15Expected 29Ceiling 41
What moves the range:
  • Shooting %: expected 6.4% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±3.6 (pure luck).
  • Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
  • Games played: floor assumes 64 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 80 expected.
  • Linemates: assist swing of ±8.3 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
BasicEverything
ScoringIce timePhysicalFaceoffsFinishing
SeasonGPGAPSOGSH%PPPTOIPP TOIES%PP%HITBLKPIMFOWFOLFO%xGG−xG+/-
2026-27303330.0119:542:243632230———0.1-0.1-2
2025-26781125361417.8621:062:1835523511429———8.3+2.7-18
2024-2582734411265.61421:241:48——2113121———7.2-0.2-8
2023-2472751581734.02023:422:36——9813727———9.9-2.97
2022-2365437411263.21721:423:00——708521———7.5-3.5-9
2021-22821058682214.5——————40—————16
2020-2155530351015.0——————14—————11
2019-2047324271232.4——————24—————6
2018-19822052722239.0——————14—————24
2017-1876646521823.3——————14—————-4
2016-1776621271713.5——————21—————-20
2015-1682927361675.4——————28—————-17
2014-1581821291485.4——————14—————-16
2013-147322527962.1——————12—————-13

Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.

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