2026-27 projection
72
GP
19
G
24
A
44
Pts
13
PPP
160
SOG
81
Hits
15
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 23Expected 44Ceiling 64
Goals
Floor 10Expected 19Ceiling 28
Assists
Floor 13Expected 24Ceiling 36
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 12% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.3 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 58 (injury), ceiling 78 (full health) vs 72 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±6.8 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 16:54 | 3:42 | 47 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 |
| 2025-26 | 62 | 12 | 19 | 31 | 132 | 9.1 | 8 | 16:42 | 2:48 | 55 | 75 | 9 | 30 | -18 |
| 2024-25 | 78 | 21 | 35 | 56 | 206 | 10.2 | 23 | 18:00 | 3:12 | — | 77 | 25 | 37 | -29 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 42 | 27 | 69 | 266 | 15.8 | 17 | 17:54 | 3:30 | — | 107 | 23 | 40 | -2 |
| 2022-23 | 76 | 28 | 29 | 57 | 234 | 12.0 | 16 | 17:06 | 2:18 | — | 76 | 17 | 21 | 2 |
| 2021-22 | 76 | 30 | 36 | 66 | 251 | 12.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 36 | 3 | |
| 2020-21 | 55 | 18 | 26 | 44 | 176 | 10.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 39 | 19 | |
| 2019-20 | 66 | 22 | 25 | 47 | 235 | 9.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 28 | 6 | |
| 2018-19 | 82 | 25 | 34 | 59 | 278 | 9.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 52 | 2 | |
| 2017-18 | 77 | 27 | 48 | 75 | 268 | 10.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 40 | 36 | |
| 2016-17 | 75 | 30 | 21 | 51 | 193 | 15.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 38 | -21 | |
| 2015-16 | 45 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 81 | 8.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 17 | -10 | |
| 2014-15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 33.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | 1 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
