2026-27 projection
75
GP
29
G
30
A
60
Pts
18
PPP
186
SOG
96
Hits
56
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 32Expected 60Ceiling 86
Goals
Floor 17Expected 29Ceiling 41
Assists
Floor 16Expected 30Ceiling 45
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 15.8% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±6.4 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 60 (injury), ceiling 81 (full health) vs 75 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±8.6 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 1 | 18:30 | 4:00 | 28 | 62 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 0.7 | -0.7 | 1 |
| 2025-26 | 60 | 24 | 24 | 48 | 166 | 14.5 | 16 | 19:00 | 3:18 | 30 | 64 | 71 | 43 | 8 | 81 | 144 | 36.0 | 24.7 | -0.7 | -2 |
| 2024-25 | 81 | 35 | 35 | 70 | 203 | 17.2 | 19 | 19:18 | 2:42 | — | — | 116 | 77 | 14 | 19 | 26 | 42.2 | 30.8 | +4.3 | -22 |
| 2023-24 | 70 | 15 | 22 | 37 | 165 | 9.1 | 6 | 16:30 | 2:24 | — | — | 112 | 40 | 22 | 3 | 10 | 23.1 | 20.5 | -5.5 | 4 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 28 | 32 | 60 | 243 | 11.5 | 21 | 18:24 | 3:18 | — | — | 141 | 53 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 47.6 | 28.2 | -0.2 | -5 |
| 2021-22 | 70 | 20 | 21 | 41 | 184 | 10.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | |
| 2020-21 | 52 | 9 | 19 | 28 | 144 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | -14 | |
| 2019-20 | 65 | 15 | 27 | 42 | 186 | 8.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | -5 | |
| 2018-19 | 69 | 18 | 25 | 43 | 194 | 9.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | -13 | |
| 2017-18 | 77 | 34 | 35 | 69 | 230 | 14.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | |
| 2016-17 | 71 | 33 | 18 | 51 | 177 | 18.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | |
| 2015-16 | 72 | 20 | 23 | 43 | 169 | 11.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | -1 | |
| 2014-15 | 71 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 105 | 8.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | |
| 2013-14 | 18 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | -3 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
