2026-27 projection
72
GP
11
G
28
A
38
Pts
14
PPP
182
SOG
78
Hits
76
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 19Expected 38Ceiling 58
Goals
Floor 5Expected 11Ceiling 17
Assists
Floor 14Expected 28Ceiling 41
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 5.8% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 58 (injury), ceiling 78 (full health) vs 72 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±7.7 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11.1 | 0 | 22:42 | 3:30 | 37 | 3 | 3 | 0 | -4 |
| 2025-26 | 77 | 12 | 27 | 39 | 203 | 5.9 | 14 | 21:54 | 2:12 | 48 | 87 | 77 | 50 | -2 |
| 2024-25 | 64 | 9 | 31 | 40 | 186 | 4.8 | 15 | 19:54 | 2:54 | — | 74 | 85 | 30 | 8 |
| 2023-24 | 20 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 61 | 8.2 | 8 | 21:00 | 1:42 | — | 18 | 24 | 20 | -8 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 22 | 52 | 74 | 275 | 8.0 | 28 | 21:48 | 3:06 | — | 64 | 86 | 50 | 23 |
| 2021-22 | 62 | 9 | 21 | 30 | 197 | 4.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 34 | -19 | |
| 2020-21 | 55 | 10 | 32 | 42 | 180 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 35 | 20 | |
| 2019-20 | 47 | 14 | 26 | 40 | 170 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 32 | 30 | |
| 2018-19 | 82 | 18 | 21 | 39 | 259 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 54 | 0 | |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 17 | 27 | 44 | 270 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 64 | 1 | |
| 2016-17 | 81 | 13 | 37 | 50 | 222 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 64 | 12 | |
| 2015-16 | 82 | 12 | 31 | 43 | 190 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 46 | -14 | |
| 2014-15 | 72 | 10 | 32 | 42 | 188 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 41 | -3 | |
| 2013-14 | 64 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 114 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 40 | 22 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
