2026-27 projection
75
GP
0.18
G
0.31
A
0.49
Pts
0.03
PPP
1.58
SOG
1.07
Hits
0.53
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 19Expected 37Ceiling 56
Goals
Floor 7Expected 14Ceiling 21
Assists
Floor 12Expected 23Ceiling 35
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 11.5% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.4 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 60 (injury), ceiling 81 (full health) vs 75 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±6.6 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 16:18 | 0:24 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 2025-26 | 78 | 12 | 24 | 36 | 119 | 10.1 | 1 | 16:42 | 1:00 | 20 | 100 | 42 | 30 | -5 |
| 2024-25 | 79 | 15 | 30 | 45 | 155 | 9.7 | 4 | 17:18 | 1:30 | — | 54 | 45 | 41 | 1 |
| 2023-24 | 74 | 11 | 27 | 38 | 192 | 5.7 | 7 | 17:48 | 2:24 | — | 59 | 41 | 29 | -10 |
| 2021-22 | 29 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 79 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | -6 | |
| 2020-21 | 45 | 18 | 23 | 41 | 120 | 15.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | -4 | |
| 2019-20 | 69 | 22 | 37 | 59 | 185 | 11.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 30 | 21 | |
| 2018-19 | 80 | 33 | 43 | 76 | 223 | 14.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 34 | 2 | |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 31 | 45 | 76 | 227 | 13.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 31 | 34 | |
| 2016-17 | 66 | 14 | 20 | 34 | 120 | 11.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 33 | 12 | |
| 2015-16 | 63 | 11 | 28 | 39 | 119 | 9.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 30 | 8 | |
| 2014-15 | 82 | 15 | 22 | 37 | 148 | 10.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 28 | 4 | |
| 2013-14 | 82 | 13 | 26 | 39 | 165 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 45 | 1 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2023-24. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
