2026-27 projection
80
GP
31
G
60
A
91
Pts
23
PPP
167
SOG
43
Hits
47
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 49Expected 91Ceiling 126
Goals
Floor 18Expected 31Ceiling 41
Assists
Floor 31Expected 60Ceiling 85
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 18.5% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±6.4 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 64 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 80 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±17 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 23:24 | 3:36 | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| 2025-26 | 82 | 36 | 67 | 103 | 175 | 20.6 | 22 | 21:30 | 3:06 | 62 | 32 | 47 | 43 | 0 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 39 | 48 | 87 | 181 | 21.5 | 25 | 20:24 | 2:48 | — | 73 | 60 | 61 | 12 |
| 2023-24 | 74 | 25 | 47 | 72 | 154 | 16.2 | 18 | 20:12 | 3:06 | — | 63 | 40 | 57 | 19 |
| 2022-23 | 81 | 42 | 26 | 68 | 206 | 20.4 | 22 | 20:30 | 3:36 | — | 50 | 38 | 43 | -16 |
| 2021-22 | 67 | 29 | 41 | 70 | 159 | 18.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 23 | -17 | |
| 2020-21 | 56 | 21 | 42 | 63 | 126 | 16.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | -4 | |
| 2019-20 | 71 | 29 | 44 | 73 | 170 | 17.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 45 | 2 | |
| 2018-19 | 82 | 38 | 46 | 84 | 199 | 19.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 38 | 8 | |
| 2017-18 | 60 | 23 | 37 | 60 | 125 | 18.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | 19 | |
| 2016-17 | 79 | 32 | 50 | 82 | 160 | 20.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 38 | 18 | |
| 2015-16 | 71 | 29 | 32 | 61 | 194 | 14.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 48 | 16 | |
| 2014-15 | 82 | 15 | 34 | 49 | 170 | 8.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 24 | 11 | |
| 2013-14 | 63 | 13 | 21 | 34 | 100 | 13.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | 9 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
