2026-27 projection
81
GP
27
G
44
A
72
Pts
31
PPP
196
SOG
82
Hits
48
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 38Expected 72Ceiling 98
Goals
Floor 15Expected 27Ceiling 36
Assists
Floor 23Expected 44Ceiling 62
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 13.9% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±6.2 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 65 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 81 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±12.5 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 16.7 | 1 | 19:36 | 2:48 | 31 | 62 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 18 | 60.0 | 1.3 | -0.3 | 0 |
| 2025-26 | 81 | 34 | 44 | 78 | 215 | 15.8 | 35 | 20:54 | 3:18 | 31 | 71 | 105 | 50 | 14 | 574 | 520 | 52.5 | 26.6 | +7.4 | -20 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 20 | 42 | 62 | 183 | 10.9 | 19 | 18:48 | 2:54 | — | — | 44 | 46 | 22 | 549 | 507 | 52.0 | 22.5 | -2.5 | -22 |
| 2023-24 | 81 | 26 | 46 | 72 | 221 | 11.8 | 31 | 19:42 | 3:30 | — | — | 49 | 55 | 30 | 548 | 564 | 49.3 | 24.3 | +1.7 | 15 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 39 | 52 | 91 | 251 | 15.5 | 39 | 20:00 | 3:30 | — | — | 71 | 48 | 20 | 692 | 706 | 49.5 | 23.7 | +15.3 | 25 |
| 2021-22 | 81 | 29 | 52 | 81 | 219 | 13.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | 30 | |
| 2020-21 | 56 | 24 | 26 | 50 | 171 | 14.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | |
| 2019-20 | 57 | 41 | 34 | 75 | 208 | 19.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | |
| 2018-19 | 82 | 30 | 44 | 74 | 236 | 12.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | -12 | |
| 2017-18 | 72 | 27 | 20 | 47 | 212 | 12.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | -23 | |
| 2016-17 | 56 | 14 | 23 | 37 | 119 | 11.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | |
| 2015-16 | 81 | 21 | 30 | 51 | 184 | 11.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | -2 | |
| 2014-15 | 80 | 20 | 26 | 46 | 150 | 13.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | |
| 2013-14 | 69 | 16 | 17 | 33 | 153 | 10.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | -15 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
