2026-27 projection
55
GP
12
G
19
A
31
Pts
10
PPP
89
SOG
34
Hits
34
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 15Expected 31Ceiling 48
Goals
Floor 6Expected 12Ceiling 19
Assists
Floor 10Expected 19Ceiling 29
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 13.5% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.1 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 44 (injury), ceiling 61 (full health) vs 55 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±5.3 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2025-26 | 50 | 10 | 15 | 25 | 83 | 12.0 | 7 | 18:06 | 2:54 | 28 | 57 | 30 | 30 | 41 | 8 | 10 | 44.4 | 11.6 | -1.6 | -9 |
| 2024-25 | 81 | 28 | 34 | 62 | 153 | 18.3 | 23 | 19:30 | 2:54 | — | — | 50 | 64 | 34 | 13 | 26 | 33.3 | 20.1 | +7.9 | -13 |
| 2023-24 | 81 | 12 | 40 | 52 | 143 | 8.4 | 19 | 17:24 | 2:42 | — | — | 60 | 37 | 49 | 15 | 16 | 48.4 | 17.7 | -5.7 | -29 |
| 2022-23 | 79 | 15 | 40 | 55 | 126 | 11.9 | 15 | 16:54 | 2:54 | — | — | 65 | 27 | 36 | 5 | 10 | 33.3 | 14.4 | +0.6 | 2 |
| 2021-22 | 80 | 30 | 85 | 115 | 222 | 13.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | 35 | |
| 2020-21 | 55 | 20 | 41 | 61 | 122 | 16.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | |
| 2019-20 | 69 | 23 | 55 | 78 | 152 | 15.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | |
| 2018-19 | 82 | 30 | 62 | 92 | 226 | 13.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | -14 | |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 27 | 42 | 69 | 204 | 13.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | -2 | |
| 2016-17 | 31 | 10 | 16 | 26 | 86 | 11.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | -2 | |
| 2015-16 | 76 | 20 | 39 | 59 | 174 | 11.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | 17 | |
| 2014-15 | 79 | 15 | 39 | 54 | 169 | 8.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | |
| 2013-14 | 69 | 9 | 19 | 28 | 108 | 8.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | -5 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
