2026-27 projection
62
GP
16
G
22
A
37
Pts
4
PPP
124
SOG
127
Hits
58
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 19Expected 37Ceiling 56
Goals
Floor 8Expected 16Ceiling 24
Assists
Floor 11Expected 22Ceiling 33
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 12.5% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.7 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 50 (injury), ceiling 68 (full health) vs 62 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±6.1 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 15:36 | 0:06 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-26 | 67 | 13 | 25 | 38 | 132 | 9.8 | 3 | 16:06 | 1:00 | 22 | 147 | 66 | 44 | 3 |
| 2024-25 | 26 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 70 | 10.0 | 3 | 18:00 | 1:48 | — | 43 | 18 | 4 | 3 |
| 2023-24 | 58 | 22 | 13 | 35 | 155 | 14.2 | 8 | 20:06 | 2:42 | — | 119 | 74 | 28 | -8 |
| 2022-23 | 68 | 26 | 19 | 45 | 214 | 12.1 | 11 | 20:12 | 3:06 | — | 129 | 70 | 51 | -32 |
| 2021-22 | 59 | 23 | 21 | 44 | 160 | 14.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | -11 | |
| 2020-21 | 41 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 79 | 10.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | -9 | |
| 2019-20 | 70 | 11 | 13 | 24 | 179 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 36 | -14 | |
| 2018-19 | 77 | 16 | 22 | 38 | 170 | 9.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 42 | 6 | |
| 2017-18 | 75 | 13 | 19 | 32 | 187 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 39 | 1 | |
| 2016-17 | 82 | 18 | 16 | 34 | 211 | 8.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 52 | 14 | |
| 2015-16 | 82 | 30 | 19 | 49 | 225 | 13.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 77 | -15 | |
| 2014-15 | 31 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 83 | 10.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | -5 | |
| 2013-14 | 72 | 16 | 13 | 29 | 127 | 12.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 45 | 6 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
