2026-27 projection
76
GP
14
G
20
A
33
Pts
2
PPP
86
SOG
127
Hits
54
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 17Expected 33Ceiling 50
Goals
Floor 7Expected 14Ceiling 21
Assists
Floor 10Expected 20Ceiling 29
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 15.6% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.3 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 61 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 76 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±5.5 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 14:18 | 0:00 | 24 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 13 | 55.2 | 0.1 | -0.1 | 0 |
| 2025-26 | 74 | 17 | 18 | 35 | 81 | 21.0 | 1 | 15:42 | 0:30 | 25 | 10 | 115 | 51 | 4 | 653 | 452 | 59.1 | 12.3 | +4.8 | 0 |
| 2024-25 | 79 | 14 | 28 | 42 | 120 | 11.7 | 5 | 17:00 | 1:36 | — | — | 140 | 57 | 23 | 589 | 399 | 59.6 | 17.7 | -3.7 | 4 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 11 | 22 | 33 | 101 | 10.9 | 2 | 15:54 | 1:30 | — | — | 196 | 81 | 13 | 679 | 546 | 55.4 | 13.0 | -2.0 | -8 |
| 2022-23 | 70 | 13 | 27 | 40 | 123 | 10.6 | 8 | 17:36 | 2:24 | — | — | 175 | 61 | 14 | 719 | 537 | 57.2 | 14.4 | -1.4 | -2 |
| 2021-22 | 77 | 18 | 21 | 39 | 126 | 14.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | |
| 2020-21 | 54 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 81 | 17.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | |
| 2019-20 | 67 | 26 | 16 | 42 | 151 | 17.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | |
| 2018-19 | 39 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 83 | 4.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | -12 | |
| 2017-18 | 78 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 147 | 9.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | -14 | |
| 2016-17 | 82 | 12 | 21 | 33 | 169 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | 13 | |
| 2015-16 | 82 | 19 | 24 | 43 | 133 | 14.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | 17 | |
| 2014-15 | 50 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 97 | 10.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | |
| 2013-14 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | -5 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
