2026-27 projection
65
GP
0.38
G
0.74
A
1.13
Pts
0.42
PPP
2.02
SOG
0.51
Hits
0.71
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 39Expected 73Ceiling 108
Goals
Floor 14Expected 25Ceiling 36
Assists
Floor 25Expected 48Ceiling 72
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 18.9% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.7 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 52 (injury), ceiling 71 (full health) vs 65 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±13.6 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 100.0 | 0 | 18:54 | 3:30 | 65 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2025-26 | 60 | 28 | 45 | 73 | 130 | 21.5 | 27 | 19:12 | 3:24 | 73 | 31 | 47 | 9 | 26 |
| 2024-25 | 66 | 19 | 48 | 67 | 131 | 14.5 | 25 | 19:18 | 2:36 | — | 32 | 42 | 14 | 22 |
| 2023-24 | 56 | 16 | 37 | 53 | 117 | 13.7 | 14 | 19:24 | 3:42 | — | 34 | 40 | 22 | 1 |
| 2022-23 | 43 | 17 | 21 | 38 | 113 | 15.0 | 9 | 19:24 | 2:42 | — | 31 | 23 | 10 | 11 |
| 2021-22 | 37 | 9 | 21 | 30 | 71 | 12.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 7 | |
| 2020-21 | 55 | 21 | 40 | 61 | 98 | 21.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 28 | 26 | |
| 2019-20 | 65 | 21 | 42 | 63 | 168 | 12.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 27 | 15 | |
| 2018-19 | 77 | 33 | 40 | 73 | 199 | 16.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 27 | 17 | |
| 2017-18 | 58 | 20 | 42 | 62 | 132 | 15.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 9 | |
| 2016-17 | 71 | 22 | 32 | 54 | 134 | 16.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 25 | 12 | |
| 2015-16 | 75 | 23 | 38 | 61 | 151 | 15.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 38 | -4 | |
| 2014-15 | 80 | 26 | 38 | 64 | 157 | 16.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | 21 | |
| 2013-14 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 11.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 5 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
