2026-27 projection
72
GP
0.17
G
0.18
A
0.35
Pts
0.06
PPP
1.53
SOG
1.15
Hits
0.32
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 12Expected 25Ceiling 38
Goals
Floor 6Expected 12Ceiling 19
Assists
Floor 7Expected 13Ceiling 19
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 11% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.2 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 58 (injury), ceiling 78 (full health) vs 72 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±3.7 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 10:42 | 0:12 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | -1 |
| 2025-26 | 77 | 7 | 16 | 23 | 121 | 5.8 | 5 | 12:24 | 1:30 | 30 | 98 | 20 | 39 | 0 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 21 | 17 | 38 | 148 | 14.2 | 7 | 13:54 | 1:30 | — | 92 | 38 | 39 | -6 |
| 2023-24 | 77 | 16 | 15 | 31 | 154 | 10.4 | 4 | 13:48 | 1:30 | — | 63 | 35 | 74 | -24 |
| 2022-23 | 37 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 93 | 8.6 | 2 | 14:18 | 1:54 | — | 18 | 13 | 45 | -5 |
| 2021-22 | 56 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 142 | 4.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 69 | -7 | |
| 2020-21 | 35 | 14 | 9 | 23 | 106 | 13.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | 10 | |
| 2019-20 | 59 | 22 | 21 | 43 | 226 | 9.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 29 | 9 | |
| 2018-19 | 82 | 33 | 19 | 52 | 302 | 10.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 49 | 10 | |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 31 | 23 | 54 | 278 | 11.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 34 | -13 | |
| 2016-17 | 64 | 10 | 19 | 29 | 187 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 39 | 7 | |
| 2015-16 | 53 | 19 | 21 | 40 | 173 | 11.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 24 | 13 | |
| 2014-15 | 82 | 24 | 23 | 47 | 254 | 9.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 31 | 18 | |
| 2013-14 | 81 | 19 | 22 | 41 | 211 | 9.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 73 | 4 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
