Bryan Rust

RPIT · age 34 · 2023-24 · drafted 2010 by PIT, round 3, #80 overallOutCompare with…

Overview Trends Analytics Career & Projections Splits Game Log News Depth Chart

2026-27 projection

Pts

PPP

174

SOG

Hits

Blk

2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling

Points

Floor 33Expected 62Ceiling 90

Goals

Floor 15Expected 27Ceiling 39

Assists

Floor 18Expected 35Ceiling 52

What moves the range:

Shooting %: expected 15.7% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±6.1 (pure luck).
Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
Games played: floor assumes 58 (injury), ceiling 78 (full health) vs 72 expected.
Linemates: assist swing of ±9.8 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.

NHL seasons

Basic Everything

		Scoring						Ice time			Physical
Season	GP	G	A	P	SOG	SH%	PPP	TOI	PP TOI	PP%	HIT	BLK	PIM	+/-
2025-26	72	29	36	65	183	15.8	24	20:00	3:18	65	35	71	26	0
2024-25	71	31	34	65	191	16.2	18	19:48	2:42	—	62	54	18	-21
2023-24	62	28	28	56	196	14.3	9	19:36	2:30	—	47	51	20	10
2022-23	81	20	26	46	211	9.5	11	17:54	2:12	—	98	50	31	-4
2021-22	60	24	34	58	180	13.3		—	—	—	—	—	14	7
2020-21	56	22	20	42	154	14.3		—	—	—	—	—	18	9
2019-20	55	27	29	56	151	17.9		—	—	—	—	—	30	14
2018-19	72	18	17	35	141	12.8		—	—	—	—	—	24	10
2017-18	69	13	25	38	123	10.6		—	—	—	—	—	26	11
2016-17	57	15	13	28	110	13.6		—	—	—	—	—	8	4
2015-16	41	4	7	11	68	5.9		—	—	—	—	—	12	1
2014-15	14	1	1	2	34	2.9		—	—	—	—	—	4	-3

Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.

Other leagues

League	Season	GP	G	A	P	PIM
USHL	2009-10	27	10	13	23	6