2026-27 projection
51
GP
13
G
19
A
32
Pts
7
PPP
77
SOG
34
Hits
13
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 16Expected 32Ceiling 50
Goals
Floor 6Expected 13Ceiling 20
Assists
Floor 10Expected 19Ceiling 30
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 16.6% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.2 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 41 (injury), ceiling 57 (full health) vs 51 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±5.4 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.0 | 0 | 13:42 | 1:48 | 25 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 58.3 | 0.7 | -0.7 | -2 |
| 2025-26 | 27 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 22.6 | 4 | 16:42 | 2:12 | 28 | 42 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 126 | 109 | 53.6 | 5.3 | +1.7 | 10 |
| 2024-25 | 20 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 46 | 19.6 | 3 | 16:06 | 2:18 | — | — | 5 | 6 | 4 | 92 | 82 | 52.9 | 8.2 | +0.8 | 15 |
| 2023-24 | 68 | 25 | 27 | 52 | 154 | 16.2 | 8 | 16:30 | 1:48 | — | — | 61 | 22 | 26 | 342 | 266 | 56.2 | 19.8 | +5.2 | 10 |
| 2022-23 | 76 | 21 | 29 | 50 | 189 | 11.1 | 11 | 16:36 | 2:12 | — | — | 84 | 23 | 24 | 476 | 394 | 54.7 | 21.9 | -0.9 | 3 |
| 2021-22 | 81 | 24 | 25 | 49 | 218 | 11.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | -21 | |
| 2020-21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 25.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | |
| 2019-20 | 69 | 17 | 33 | 50 | 245 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | -2 | |
| 2018-19 | 82 | 33 | 47 | 80 | 334 | 9.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | 17 | |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 40 | 38 | 78 | 335 | 11.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | |
| 2016-17 | 82 | 26 | 46 | 72 | 301 | 8.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | -15 | |
| 2015-16 | 72 | 33 | 40 | 73 | 278 | 11.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | |
| 2014-15 | 71 | 37 | 40 | 77 | 280 | 13.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | -1 | |
| 2013-14 | 80 | 37 | 47 | 84 | 294 | 12.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
