2026-27 projection
72
GP
38
G
24
A
62
Pts
17
PPP
193
SOG
66
Hits
23
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 34Expected 62Ceiling 87
Goals
Floor 22Expected 38Ceiling 52
Assists
Floor 12Expected 24Ceiling 35
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 19.6% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±7.1 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 58 (injury), ceiling 78 (full health) vs 72 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±6.7 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 20:36 | 4:24 | 66 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025-26 | 58 | 31 | 21 | 52 | 159 | 19.5 | 15 | 20:06 | 3:36 | 80 | 56 | 18 | 28 | 13 |
| 2024-25 | 73 | 27 | 17 | 44 | 210 | 12.9 | 12 | 18:54 | 3:06 | — | 59 | 24 | 32 | 9 |
| 2023-24 | 80 | 54 | 23 | 77 | 290 | 18.6 | 20 | 19:30 | 3:18 | — | 87 | 37 | 48 | 36 |
| 2022-23 | 79 | 36 | 47 | 83 | 276 | 13.0 | 26 | 20:06 | 3:30 | — | 77 | 19 | 39 | 13 |
| 2021-22 | 76 | 27 | 27 | 54 | 213 | 12.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 36 | -9 | |
| 2020-21 | 43 | 15 | 18 | 33 | 115 | 13.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 28 | 19 | |
| 2019-20 | 51 | 21 | 16 | 37 | 106 | 19.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 23 | 13 | |
| 2018-19 | 71 | 21 | 20 | 41 | 144 | 14.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 65 | 16 | |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 15 | 25 | 40 | 148 | 10.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 37 | 22 | |
| 2016-17 | 82 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 156 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 30 | 2 | |
| 2015-16 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 37 | 10.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | 0 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
