2026-27 projection
76
GP
5
G
25
A
29
Pts
8
PPP
82
SOG
11
Hits
77
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 14Expected 29Ceiling 45
Goals
Floor 1Expected 5Ceiling 9
Assists
Floor 13Expected 25Ceiling 36
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 5.7% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±2.7 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 61 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 76 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±6.9 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 23:00 | 3:42 | 34 | 60 | 0 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | 0.1 | -0.1 | 1 |
| 2025-26 | 82 | 4 | 26 | 30 | 91 | 4.4 | 9 | 21:06 | 1:42 | 36 | 35 | 9 | 72 | 14 | — | — | — | 4.7 | -0.7 | -11 |
| 2024-25 | 68 | 9 | 31 | 40 | 88 | 10.2 | 8 | 21:30 | 1:36 | — | — | 8 | 87 | 14 | — | — | — | 5.9 | +3.1 | 12 |
| 2023-24 | 81 | 5 | 34 | 39 | 109 | 4.6 | 18 | 24:24 | 2:18 | — | — | 41 | 119 | 24 | — | — | — | 6.7 | -1.7 | -36 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 10 | 38 | 48 | 130 | 7.7 | 14 | 24:12 | 2:30 | — | — | 18 | 104 | 14 | — | — | — | 7.5 | +2.5 | -23 |
| 2021-22 | 76 | 9 | 33 | 42 | 124 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | -9 | |
| 2020-21 | 56 | 5 | 18 | 23 | 75 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | -4 | |
| 2019-20 | 59 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 117 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | |
| 2018-19 | 59 | 5 | 18 | 23 | 88 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | -14 | |
| 2017-18 | 67 | 8 | 24 | 32 | 122 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | |
| 2016-17 | 80 | 11 | 28 | 39 | 186 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | |
| 2015-16 | 69 | 5 | 23 | 28 | 113 | 4.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | -8 | |
| 2014-15 | 80 | 7 | 27 | 34 | 87 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | |
| 2013-14 | 70 | 6 | 30 | 36 | 100 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
