2026-27 projection
80
GP
0.23
G
0.38
A
0.61
Pts
0.13
PPP
1.52
SOG
1.31
Hits
0.66
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 25Expected 49Ceiling 68
Goals
Floor 9Expected 18Ceiling 25
Assists
Floor 16Expected 30Ceiling 43
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 15% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 64 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 80 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±8.6 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | — | 1 | 17:12 | 2:06 | 59 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025-26 | 82 | 20 | 38 | 58 | 144 | 13.9 | 13 | 18:06 | 2:06 | 48 | 111 | 53 | 14 | 3 |
| 2024-25 | 83 | 17 | 18 | 35 | 115 | 14.8 | 7 | 17:00 | 1:48 | — | 108 | 61 | 24 | -9 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 25 | 35 | 60 | 147 | 17.0 | 11 | 18:06 | 1:48 | — | 131 | 60 | 38 | -2 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 16 | 29 | 45 | 139 | 11.5 | 0 | 17:00 | 0:42 | — | 68 | 63 | 30 | 29 |
| 2021-22 | 82 | 16 | 28 | 44 | 131 | 12.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 32 | -6 | |
| 2020-21 | 51 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 79 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | -4 | |
| 2019-20 | 70 | 16 | 21 | 37 | 145 | 11.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 21 | 9 | |
| 2018-19 | 81 | 12 | 22 | 34 | 155 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | -1 | |
| 2017-18 | 66 | 11 | 26 | 37 | 117 | 9.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | 8 | |
| 2016-17 | 82 | 18 | 38 | 56 | 159 | 11.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 36 | 13 | |
| 2015-16 | 82 | 21 | 21 | 42 | 140 | 15.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | 1 | |
| 2014-15 | 82 | 11 | 24 | 35 | 120 | 9.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 39 | 13 | |
| 2013-14 | 70 | 12 | 18 | 30 | 135 | 8.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 33 | -7 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
