2026-27 projection
77
GP
0.22
G
0.29
A
0.51
Pts
0.11
PPP
1.47
SOG
2.18
Hits
0.54
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 20Expected 40Ceiling 58
Goals
Floor 9Expected 17Ceiling 25
Assists
Floor 12Expected 22Ceiling 33
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 15.1% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.9 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 62 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 77 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±6.3 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 20.0 | 0 | 14:36 | 4:18 | 62 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 2025-26 | 80 | 18 | 21 | 39 | 119 | 15.1 | 9 | 16:48 | 2:18 | 44 | 180 | 41 | 68 | -28 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 18 | 32 | 50 | 145 | 12.4 | 7 | 17:36 | 1:48 | — | 194 | 55 | 61 | 3 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 20 | 26 | 46 | 170 | 11.8 | 12 | 17:48 | 2:30 | — | 169 | 51 | 56 | -22 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 21 | 44 | 65 | 144 | 14.6 | 15 | 18:24 | 2:36 | — | 140 | 41 | 50 | -27 |
| 2021-22 | 62 | 24 | 34 | 58 | 111 | 21.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 33 | 21 | |
| 2020-21 | 56 | 16 | 20 | 36 | 113 | 14.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 35 | -2 | |
| 2019-20 | 71 | 25 | 33 | 58 | 138 | 18.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 44 | 3 | |
| 2018-19 | 72 | 17 | 37 | 54 | 159 | 10.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 40 | 3 | |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 28 | 42 | 70 | 210 | 13.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 56 | 10 | |
| 2016-17 | 79 | 25 | 30 | 55 | 178 | 14.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 38 | -13 | |
| 2015-16 | 80 | 26 | 33 | 59 | 178 | 14.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 33 | 3 | |
| 2014-15 | 82 | 18 | 29 | 47 | 156 | 11.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 34 | -5 | |
| 2013-14 | 82 | 20 | 21 | 41 | 178 | 11.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 54 | 0 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
