Matt Duchene
C2026-27 projection
71
GP
0.30
G
0.55
A
0.85
Pts
0.27
PPP
1.62
SOG
0.44
Hits
0.37
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 32Expected 60Ceiling 88
Goals
Floor 12Expected 21Ceiling 31
Assists
Floor 20Expected 39Ceiling 58
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 17% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.2 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 57 (injury), ceiling 77 (full health) vs 71 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±11 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 57 | 16 | 29 | 45 | 89 | 14 | 8 | -3 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 30 | 52 | 82 | 152 | 27 | 12 | 13 |
| 2023-24 | 80 | 25 | 40 | 65 | 172 | 16 | 20 | 15 |
| 2022-23 | 71 | 22 | 34 | 56 | 168 | 13 | 32 | 4 |
| 2021-22 | 78 | 43 | 43 | 86 | 228 | 38 | 6 | |
| 2020-21 | 34 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 73 | 6 | -12 | |
| 2019-20 | 66 | 13 | 29 | 42 | 136 | 24 | -4 | |
| 2018-19 | 73 | 31 | 39 | 70 | 172 | 8 | -3 | |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 27 | 32 | 59 | 190 | 18 | -22 | |
| 2016-17 | 77 | 18 | 23 | 41 | 160 | 12 | -34 | |
| 2015-16 | 76 | 30 | 29 | 59 | 200 | 24 | -8 | |
| 2014-15 | 82 | 21 | 34 | 55 | 207 | 16 | 3 | |
| 2013-14 | 71 | 23 | 47 | 70 | 217 | 19 | 8 |