2026-27 projection
71
GP
20
G
39
A
58
Pts
18
PPP
115
SOG
31
Hits
27
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 30Expected 58Ceiling 86
Goals
Floor 10Expected 20Ceiling 29
Assists
Floor 20Expected 38Ceiling 57
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 17% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.2 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 57 (injury), ceiling 77 (full health) vs 71 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±10.8 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2025-26 | 57 | 16 | 29 | 45 | 89 | 18.0 | 14 | 16:30 | 2:30 | 28 | 48 | 29 | 23 | 8 | 266 | 244 | 52.2 | 14.5 | +1.5 | -3 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 30 | 52 | 82 | 152 | 19.7 | 27 | 17:06 | 2:30 | — | — | 29 | 21 | 12 | 440 | 400 | 52.4 | 20.9 | +9.1 | 13 |
| 2023-24 | 80 | 25 | 40 | 65 | 172 | 14.5 | 16 | 16:48 | 2:06 | — | — | 30 | 48 | 20 | 360 | 277 | 56.5 | 23.8 | +1.2 | 15 |
| 2022-23 | 71 | 22 | 34 | 56 | 168 | 13.1 | 13 | 18:18 | 3:00 | — | — | 27 | 32 | 32 | 137 | 122 | 52.9 | 17.4 | +4.6 | 4 |
| 2021-22 | 78 | 43 | 43 | 86 | 228 | 18.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | |
| 2020-21 | 34 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 73 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | -12 | |
| 2019-20 | 66 | 13 | 29 | 42 | 136 | 9.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | -4 | |
| 2018-19 | 73 | 31 | 39 | 70 | 172 | 18.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | -3 | |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 27 | 32 | 59 | 190 | 14.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | -22 | |
| 2016-17 | 77 | 18 | 23 | 41 | 160 | 11.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | -34 | |
| 2015-16 | 76 | 30 | 29 | 59 | 200 | 15.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | -8 | |
| 2014-15 | 82 | 21 | 34 | 55 | 207 | 10.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | |
| 2013-14 | 71 | 23 | 47 | 70 | 217 | 10.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
