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Matt Duchene

Matt Duchene

CDAL · age 35 · 2023-24 · drafted 2009 by COL, round 1, #3 overallOutCompare with…
71
GP
20
G
39
A
58
Pts
18
PPP
115
SOG
31
Hits
27
Blk
Points
Floor 30Expected 58Ceiling 86
Goals
Floor 10Expected 20Ceiling 29
Assists
Floor 20Expected 38Ceiling 57
What moves the range:
  • Shooting %: expected 17% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.2 (pure luck).
  • Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
  • Games played: floor assumes 57 (injury), ceiling 77 (full health) vs 71 expected.
  • Linemates: assist swing of ±10.8 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
BasicEverything
ScoringIce timePhysicalFaceoffsFinishing
SeasonGPGAPSOGSH%PPPTOIPP TOIES%PP%HITBLKPIMFOWFOLFO%xGG−xG+/-
2025-26571629458918.01416:302:3028482923826624452.214.5+1.5-3
2024-258230528215219.72717:062:30——29211244040052.420.9+9.113
2023-248025406517214.51616:482:06——30482036027756.523.8+1.215
2022-237122345616813.11318:183:00——27323213712252.917.4+4.64
2021-227843438622818.9——————38—————6
2020-21346713738.2——————6—————-12
2019-20661329421369.6——————24—————-4
2018-197331397017218.0——————8—————-3
2017-188227325919014.2——————18—————-22
2016-177718234116011.3——————12—————-34
2015-167630295920015.0——————24—————-8
2014-158221345520710.1——————16—————3
2013-147123477021710.6——————19—————8

Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.

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