2026-27 projection
75
GP
32
G
37
A
70
Pts
21
PPP
181
SOG
77
Hits
28
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 38Expected 70Ceiling 100
Goals
Floor 18Expected 32Ceiling 45
Assists
Floor 19Expected 37Ceiling 55
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 17.8% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±6.6 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 60 (injury), ceiling 81 (full health) vs 75 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±10.5 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 17:12 | 4:18 | 57 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 |
| 2025-26 | 82 | 31 | 40 | 71 | 192 | 16.1 | 21 | 18:12 | 2:42 | 61 | 74 | 24 | 28 | -28 |
| 2024-25 | 75 | 38 | 36 | 74 | 200 | 19.0 | 20 | 18:12 | 2:48 | — | 92 | 45 | 46 | 10 |
| 2023-24 | 80 | 29 | 36 | 65 | 279 | 10.4 | 20 | 17:54 | 3:06 | — | 134 | 37 | 30 | 2 |
| 2022-23 | 80 | 36 | 44 | 80 | 277 | 13.0 | 39 | 17:42 | 3:30 | — | 112 | 36 | 34 | -7 |
| 2021-22 | 79 | 27 | 49 | 76 | 237 | 11.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 32 | -8 | |
| 2020-21 | 56 | 19 | 31 | 50 | 163 | 11.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | 12 | |
| 2019-20 | 63 | 26 | 34 | 60 | 197 | 13.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 24 | -7 | |
| 2018-19 | 82 | 47 | 41 | 88 | 286 | 16.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 34 | 19 | |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 37 | 47 | 84 | 257 | 14.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | -12 | |
| 2016-17 | 77 | 28 | 38 | 66 | 260 | 10.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 38 | 4 | |
| 2015-16 | 78 | 33 | 37 | 70 | 250 | 13.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 38 | 6 | |
| 2014-15 | 82 | 38 | 48 | 86 | 278 | 13.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 46 | 5 | |
| 2013-14 | 59 | 24 | 42 | 66 | 188 | 12.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 40 | -6 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
