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John Tavares

John Tavares

CTOR · age 36 · 2025-26 · drafted 2009 by NYI, round 1, #1 overallCompare with…
75
GP
32
G
37
A
70
Pts
21
PPP
181
SOG
77
Hits
28
Blk
Points
Floor 38Expected 70Ceiling 100
Goals
Floor 18Expected 32Ceiling 45
Assists
Floor 19Expected 37Ceiling 55
What moves the range:
  • Shooting %: expected 17.8% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±6.6 (pure luck).
  • Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
  • Games played: floor assumes 60 (injury), ceiling 81 (full health) vs 75 expected.
  • Linemates: assist swing of ±10.5 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
BasicEverything
ScoringIce timePhysical
SeasonGPGAPSOGSH%PPPTOIPP TOIPP%HITBLKPIM+/-
2026-27302280.0117:124:1857144-2
2025-268231407119216.12118:122:4261742428-28
2024-257538367420019.02018:122:48—92454610
2023-248029366527910.42017:543:06—13437302
2022-238036448027713.03917:423:30—1123634-7
2021-227927497623711.4—————32-8
2020-215619315016311.7—————1412
2019-206326346019713.2—————24-7
2018-198247418828616.4—————3419
2017-188237478425714.4—————26-12
2016-177728386626010.8—————384
2015-167833377025013.2—————386
2014-158238488627813.7—————465
2013-145924426618812.8—————40-6

Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.

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