Ryan O'Reilly
C2026-27 projection
74
GP
0.30
G
0.54
A
0.84
Pts
0.25
PPP
1.79
SOG
0.23
Hits
0.79
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 33Expected 62Ceiling 91
Goals
Floor 12Expected 22Ceiling 31
Assists
Floor 21Expected 40Ceiling 60
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 15.1% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.3 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 59 (injury), ceiling 80 (full health) vs 74 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±11.3 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 81 | 25 | 49 | 74 | 154 | 20 | 22 | 8 |
| 2024-25 | 79 | 21 | 32 | 53 | 151 | 17 | 24 | -23 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 26 | 43 | 69 | 180 | 28 | 18 | 6 |
| 2022-23 | 53 | 16 | 14 | 30 | 102 | 5 | 16 | -21 |
| 2021-22 | 78 | 21 | 37 | 58 | 168 | 12 | 11 | |
| 2020-21 | 56 | 24 | 30 | 54 | 129 | 18 | 26 | |
| 2019-20 | 71 | 12 | 49 | 61 | 118 | 10 | 11 | |
| 2018-19 | 82 | 28 | 49 | 77 | 234 | 12 | 22 | |
| 2017-18 | 81 | 24 | 37 | 61 | 230 | 2 | -23 | |
| 2016-17 | 72 | 20 | 35 | 55 | 189 | 10 | -1 | |
| 2015-16 | 71 | 21 | 39 | 60 | 157 | 8 | -16 | |
| 2014-15 | 82 | 17 | 38 | 55 | 171 | 12 | -5 | |
| 2013-14 | 80 | 28 | 36 | 64 | 201 | 2 | -1 |