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Ryan O'Reilly

Ryan O'Reilly

CNSH · age 35 · 2023-24 · drafted 2009 by COL, round 2, #33 overallCompare with…
75
GP
23
G
41
A
64
Pts
19
PPP
135
SOG
17
Hits
59
Blk
Points
Floor 34Expected 64Ceiling 94
Goals
Floor 12Expected 23Ceiling 33
Assists
Floor 21Expected 41Ceiling 61
What moves the range:
  • Shooting %: expected 17% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.6 (pure luck).
  • Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
  • Games played: floor assumes 60 (injury), ceiling 81 (full health) vs 75 expected.
  • Linemates: assist swing of ±11.5 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
BasicEverything
ScoringIce timePhysicalFaceoffsFinishing
SeasonGPGAPSOGSH%PPPTOIPP TOIES%PP%HITBLKPIMFOWFOLFO%xGG−xG+/-
2026-27201150.0120:424:062952210221362.90.4-0.4-1
2025-268125497415416.22020:242:54315717662273960355.124.1+0.98
2024-257921325315113.91719:002:54——20722474659355.725.0-4.0-23
2023-248226436918014.42819:483:18——25561882870853.926.2-0.26
2022-235316143010215.7517:541:48——18231649939655.812.5+3.5-21
2021-227821375816812.5——————12—————11
2020-215624305412918.6——————18—————26
2019-207112496111810.2——————10—————11
2018-198228497723412.0——————12—————22
2017-188124376123010.4——————2—————-23
2016-177220355518910.6——————10—————-1
2015-167121396015713.4——————8—————-16
2014-15821738551719.9——————12—————-5
2013-148028366420113.9——————2—————-1

Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.

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