2026-27 projection
66
GP
13
G
40
A
53
Pts
23
PPP
173
SOG
31
Hits
103
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 27Expected 53Ceiling 81
Goals
Floor 6Expected 13Ceiling 20
Assists
Floor 21Expected 40Ceiling 60
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 7.4% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.4 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 53 (injury), ceiling 72 (full health) vs 66 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±11.4 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 33.3 | 1 | 24:48 | 4:30 | 39 | 57 | 2 | 2 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.2 | +0.8 | 0 |
| 2025-26 | 68 | 13 | 42 | 55 | 181 | 7.2 | 24 | 25:00 | 3:18 | 41 | 65 | 24 | 101 | 30 | — | — | — | 11.8 | +1.1 | -15 |
| 2024-25 | 53 | 9 | 29 | 38 | 150 | 6.0 | 17 | 25:00 | 3:18 | — | — | 42 | 95 | 18 | — | — | — | 12.3 | -3.4 | -26 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 23 | 62 | 85 | 268 | 8.6 | 33 | 24:36 | 3:54 | — | — | 46 | 151 | 45 | — | — | — | 18.4 | +4.6 | 12 |
| 2022-23 | 67 | 18 | 41 | 59 | 269 | 6.7 | 24 | 25:12 | 3:24 | — | — | 51 | 146 | 36 | — | — | — | 17.4 | +0.6 | 5 |
| 2021-22 | 80 | 23 | 73 | 96 | 281 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | 13 | |
| 2020-21 | 48 | 8 | 25 | 33 | 141 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | -11 | |
| 2019-20 | 69 | 16 | 49 | 65 | 260 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | |
| 2018-19 | 82 | 15 | 41 | 56 | 274 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | |
| 2017-18 | 75 | 14 | 39 | 53 | 253 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | 24 | |
| 2016-17 | 72 | 12 | 37 | 49 | 217 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | |
| 2015-16 | 81 | 14 | 47 | 61 | 198 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | -3 | |
| 2014-15 | 81 | 15 | 40 | 55 | 201 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | |
| 2013-14 | 72 | 13 | 27 | 40 | 168 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | -2 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
