2026-27 projection
67
GP
0.30
G
0.36
A
0.67
Pts
0.18
PPP
1.87
SOG
0.59
Hits
0.50
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 23Expected 45Ceiling 66
Goals
Floor 11Expected 20Ceiling 30
Assists
Floor 13Expected 24Ceiling 36
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 16.2% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.3 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 54 (injury), ceiling 73 (full health) vs 67 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±6.8 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 20.0 | 2 | 17:30 | 2:54 | 47 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-26 | 80 | 26 | 29 | 55 | 168 | 15.5 | 16 | 18:30 | 2:42 | 55 | 55 | 43 | 28 | 2 |
| 2024-25 | 42 | 9 | 17 | 26 | 66 | 13.6 | 5 | 16:18 | 2:24 | — | 13 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 2023-24 | 78 | 17 | 27 | 44 | 168 | 10.1 | 12 | 17:24 | 2:36 | — | 30 | 23 | 17 | 1 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 20 | 43 | 63 | 177 | 11.3 | 15 | 16:42 | 2:30 | — | 44 | 25 | 34 | 6 |
| 2021-22 | 79 | 21 | 23 | 44 | 164 | 12.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | -28 | |
| 2020-21 | 55 | 16 | 17 | 33 | 128 | 12.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | 9 | |
| 2019-20 | 58 | 16 | 24 | 40 | 136 | 11.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | 1 | |
| 2018-19 | 78 | 19 | 18 | 37 | 160 | 11.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 17 | -6 | |
| 2017-18 | 81 | 25 | 34 | 59 | 183 | 13.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 21 | 5 | |
| 2016-17 | 82 | 20 | 31 | 51 | 208 | 9.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | 3 | |
| 2015-16 | 69 | 25 | 22 | 47 | 173 | 14.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | -12 | |
| 2014-15 | 81 | 24 | 39 | 63 | 183 | 13.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 24 | -16 | |
| 2013-14 | 80 | 28 | 37 | 65 | 200 | 14.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | -11 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
