2026-27 projection
74
GP
12
G
47
A
59
Pts
22
PPP
163
SOG
23
Hits
71
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 30Expected 59Ceiling 88
Goals
Floor 5Expected 12Ceiling 18
Assists
Floor 24Expected 47Ceiling 70
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 7.2% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.2 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 59 (injury), ceiling 80 (full health) vs 74 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±13.3 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 1 | 19:48 | 4:06 | 65 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025-26 | 75 | 15 | 51 | 66 | 176 | 8.5 | 26 | 23:36 | 3:18 | 66 | 20 | 64 | 22 | 8 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 11 | 42 | 53 | 191 | 5.8 | 15 | 23:12 | 2:24 | — | 29 | 94 | 20 | -24 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 11 | 45 | 56 | 213 | 5.2 | 17 | 24:18 | 3:30 | — | 40 | 99 | 44 | 4 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 25 | 76 | 101 | 209 | 12.0 | 27 | 25:36 | 3:24 | — | 33 | 90 | 36 | -26 |
| 2021-22 | 50 | 10 | 25 | 35 | 117 | 8.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | -14 | |
| 2020-21 | 52 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 110 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | -18 | |
| 2019-20 | 56 | 6 | 34 | 40 | 120 | 5.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | -15 | |
| 2018-19 | 53 | 3 | 42 | 45 | 169 | 1.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | 6 | |
| 2017-18 | 71 | 9 | 53 | 62 | 196 | 4.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 36 | -25 | |
| 2016-17 | 77 | 17 | 54 | 71 | 218 | 7.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 28 | 10 | |
| 2015-16 | 82 | 16 | 66 | 82 | 248 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 50 | -2 | |
| 2014-15 | 82 | 21 | 45 | 66 | 292 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 42 | 7 | |
| 2013-14 | 82 | 20 | 54 | 74 | 257 | 7.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 36 | -15 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
