2026-27 projection
76
GP
0.38
G
0.32
A
0.70
Pts
0.31
PPP
2.30
SOG
0.99
Hits
0.47
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 29Expected 54Ceiling 77
Goals
Floor 16Expected 29Ceiling 41
Assists
Floor 13Expected 24Ceiling 36
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 16.6% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±6.3 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 61 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 76 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±6.9 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 20.0 | 1 | 19:24 | 4:36 | 58 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| 2025-26 | 82 | 42 | 24 | 66 | 206 | 20.4 | 26 | 17:48 | 3:12 | 62 | 89 | 36 | 58 | -17 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 27 | 26 | 53 | 174 | 15.5 | 21 | 18:00 | 3:12 | — | 66 | 46 | 48 | -36 |
| 2023-24 | 79 | 40 | 41 | 81 | 262 | 15.3 | 39 | 18:12 | 3:42 | — | 78 | 43 | 34 | -21 |
| 2022-23 | 81 | 34 | 50 | 84 | 240 | 14.2 | 35 | 19:00 | 4:00 | — | 92 | 51 | 46 | -5 |
| 2021-22 | 81 | 42 | 64 | 106 | 241 | 17.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 36 | 24 | |
| 2020-21 | 38 | 17 | 17 | 34 | 91 | 18.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | 4 | |
| 2019-20 | 57 | 29 | 37 | 66 | 176 | 16.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | 14 | |
| 2018-19 | 82 | 45 | 53 | 98 | 234 | 19.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 37 | 4 | |
| 2017-18 | 78 | 27 | 59 | 86 | 212 | 12.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 72 | 18 | |
| 2016-17 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 58 | 15.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | 3 | |
| 2015-16 | 77 | 36 | 28 | 64 | 216 | 16.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 38 | 3 | |
| 2014-15 | 82 | 43 | 29 | 72 | 268 | 16.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 49 | 2 | |
| 2013-14 | 37 | 25 | 15 | 40 | 124 | 20.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | 9 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
