2026-27 projection
66
GP
0.21
G
0.37
A
0.58
Pts
0.13
PPP
1.35
SOG
1.31
Hits
0.45
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 20Expected 38Ceiling 58
Goals
Floor 7Expected 14Ceiling 21
Assists
Floor 13Expected 24Ceiling 37
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 15.5% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.4 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 53 (injury), ceiling 72 (full health) vs 66 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±6.9 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 11:36 | 1:24 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| 2025-26 | 60 | 15 | 21 | 36 | 72 | 20.8 | 6 | 13:18 | 1:36 | 32 | 79 | 23 | 53 | 8 |
| 2024-25 | 80 | 16 | 33 | 49 | 136 | 11.8 | 10 | 15:18 | 2:18 | — | 114 | 45 | 70 | 3 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 21 | 39 | 60 | 164 | 12.8 | 22 | 15:06 | 2:18 | — | 110 | 50 | 41 | 8 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 33 | 45 | 78 | 190 | 17.4 | 30 | 15:48 | 2:54 | — | 97 | 38 | 34 | 23 |
| 2021-22 | 82 | 18 | 28 | 46 | 182 | 9.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 88 | -13 | |
| 2020-21 | 52 | 11 | 24 | 35 | 124 | 8.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 33 | 13 | |
| 2019-20 | 69 | 19 | 20 | 39 | 163 | 11.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 53 | -4 | |
| 2018-19 | 78 | 27 | 26 | 53 | 189 | 14.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 56 | 14 | |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 36 | 43 | 79 | 241 | 14.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 54 | 20 | |
| 2016-17 | 77 | 26 | 43 | 69 | 201 | 12.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 66 | -9 | |
| 2015-16 | 82 | 41 | 48 | 89 | 247 | 16.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 64 | 7 | |
| 2014-15 | 82 | 35 | 52 | 87 | 253 | 13.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 64 | 1 | |
| 2013-14 | 81 | 34 | 45 | 79 | 279 | 12.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 64 | 21 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
