2026-27 projection
70
GP
15
G
15
A
30
Pts
2
PPP
92
SOG
141
Hits
41
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 15Expected 30Ceiling 45
Goals
Floor 7Expected 14Ceiling 22
Assists
Floor 8Expected 15Ceiling 22
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 15.8% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.5 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 56 (injury), ceiling 76 (full health) vs 70 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±4.3 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 16:18 | 2:00 | 25 | 22 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 31 | 51.6 | 0.6 | -0.6 | -1 |
| 2025-26 | 75 | 20 | 16 | 36 | 107 | 18.7 | 4 | 16:12 | 0:54 | 26 | 18 | 166 | 48 | 29 | 839 | 673 | 55.5 | 19.1 | +0.9 | 5 |
| 2024-25 | 75 | 13 | 23 | 36 | 107 | 12.1 | 0 | 15:24 | 0:06 | — | — | 138 | 43 | 16 | 724 | 605 | 54.5 | 13.4 | -0.4 | 15 |
| 2023-24 | 80 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 123 | 8.1 | 1 | 15:24 | 0:06 | — | — | 142 | 41 | 44 | 799 | 576 | 58.1 | 14.7 | -4.7 | -14 |
| 2022-23 | 81 | 17 | 17 | 34 | 124 | 13.7 | 0 | 16:18 | 0:18 | — | — | 155 | 39 | 32 | 821 | 653 | 55.7 | 15.8 | +1.2 | 7 |
| 2021-22 | 78 | 17 | 19 | 36 | 146 | 11.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | |
| 2020-21 | 53 | 16 | 22 | 38 | 103 | 15.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | |
| 2019-20 | 68 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 125 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | |
| 2018-19 | 50 | 11 | 17 | 28 | 121 | 9.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | |
| 2017-18 | 79 | 19 | 27 | 46 | 160 | 11.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | -4 | |
| 2016-17 | 75 | 16 | 29 | 45 | 164 | 9.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | -1 | |
| 2015-16 | 82 | 20 | 28 | 48 | 151 | 13.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | |
| 2014-15 | 46 | 6 | 18 | 24 | 92 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | -6 | |
| 2013-14 | 82 | 15 | 25 | 40 | 165 | 9.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
