2026-27 projection
73
GP
0.19
G
0.42
A
0.60
Pts
0.17
PPP
1.60
SOG
0.75
Hits
0.37
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 22Expected 44Ceiling 66
Goals
Floor 7Expected 14Ceiling 21
Assists
Floor 16Expected 30Ceiling 45
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 11.7% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.5 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 58 (injury), ceiling 79 (full health) vs 73 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±8.6 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 18:18 | 3:30 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 2025-26 | 82 | 14 | 35 | 49 | 138 | 10.1 | 13 | 16:18 | 2:12 | 40 | 65 | 27 | 22 | 20 |
| 2024-25 | 81 | 15 | 35 | 50 | 138 | 10.9 | 18 | 18:12 | 2:24 | — | 64 | 41 | 18 | -8 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 21 | 43 | 64 | 183 | 11.5 | 19 | 20:06 | 3:00 | — | 40 | 30 | 26 | -14 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 35 | 44 | 79 | 214 | 16.4 | 24 | 18:48 | 2:42 | — | 75 | 30 | 34 | 4 |
| 2021-22 | 75 | 21 | 44 | 65 | 205 | 10.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | -5 | |
| 2020-21 | 54 | 16 | 27 | 43 | 120 | 13.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | -4 | |
| 2019-20 | 69 | 21 | 32 | 53 | 197 | 10.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 28 | 7 | |
| 2018-19 | 82 | 22 | 63 | 85 | 229 | 9.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 24 | 9 | |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 34 | 68 | 102 | 193 | 17.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | 28 | |
| 2016-17 | 82 | 14 | 44 | 58 | 199 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 38 | -15 | |
| 2015-16 | 78 | 22 | 45 | 67 | 241 | 9.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 53 | -8 | |
| 2014-15 | 81 | 25 | 48 | 73 | 279 | 9.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 36 | -3 | |
| 2013-14 | 82 | 28 | 58 | 86 | 223 | 12.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 46 | 7 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
