2026-27 projection
73
GP
14
G
30
A
44
Pts
13
PPP
117
SOG
55
Hits
27
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 22Expected 44Ceiling 66
Goals
Floor 7Expected 14Ceiling 21
Assists
Floor 16Expected 30Ceiling 45
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 11.7% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.5 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 58 (injury), ceiling 79 (full health) vs 73 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±8.6 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2025-26 | 82 | 14 | 35 | 49 | 138 | 10.1 | 13 | 16:18 | 2:12 | 25 | 40 | 65 | 27 | 22 | 504 | 295 | 63.1 | 17.2 | -3.2 | 20 |
| 2024-25 | 81 | 15 | 35 | 50 | 138 | 10.9 | 18 | 18:12 | 2:24 | — | — | 64 | 41 | 18 | 600 | 376 | 61.5 | 13.5 | +1.5 | -8 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 21 | 43 | 64 | 183 | 11.5 | 19 | 20:06 | 3:00 | — | — | 40 | 30 | 26 | 668 | 484 | 58.0 | 18.2 | +2.8 | -14 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 35 | 44 | 79 | 214 | 16.4 | 24 | 18:48 | 2:42 | — | — | 75 | 30 | 34 | 712 | 509 | 58.3 | 20.4 | +14.6 | 4 |
| 2021-22 | 75 | 21 | 44 | 65 | 205 | 10.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | -5 | |
| 2020-21 | 54 | 16 | 27 | 43 | 120 | 13.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | -4 | |
| 2019-20 | 69 | 21 | 32 | 53 | 197 | 10.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | |
| 2018-19 | 82 | 22 | 63 | 85 | 229 | 9.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 34 | 68 | 102 | 193 | 17.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | 28 | |
| 2016-17 | 82 | 14 | 44 | 58 | 199 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | -15 | |
| 2015-16 | 78 | 22 | 45 | 67 | 241 | 9.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | -8 | |
| 2014-15 | 81 | 25 | 48 | 73 | 279 | 9.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | -3 | |
| 2013-14 | 82 | 28 | 58 | 86 | 223 | 12.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
