2026-27 projection
66
GP
25
G
32
A
57
Pts
21
PPP
162
SOG
59
Hits
24
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 30Expected 56Ceiling 83
Goals
Floor 14Expected 25Ceiling 36
Assists
Floor 16Expected 32Ceiling 47
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 15.5% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.9 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 53 (injury), ceiling 72 (full health) vs 66 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±8.9 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2025-26 | 52 | 27 | 27 | 54 | 138 | 19.6 | 20 | 17:42 | 3:42 | 57 | 36 | 16 | 38 | -16 |
| 2024-25 | 71 | 23 | 28 | 51 | 194 | 11.9 | 13 | 18:18 | 3:12 | — | 81 | 34 | 64 | -7 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 29 | 38 | 67 | 207 | 14.0 | 26 | 19:06 | 3:18 | — | 115 | 35 | 78 | 2 |
| 2022-23 | 73 | 21 | 46 | 67 | 183 | 11.5 | 29 | 18:30 | 3:24 | — | 81 | 22 | 74 | 27 |
| 2021-22 | 70 | 32 | 48 | 80 | 242 | 13.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 97 | 16 | |
| 2020-21 | 53 | 29 | 40 | 69 | 143 | 20.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 46 | 26 | |
| 2019-20 | 70 | 28 | 59 | 87 | 185 | 15.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 82 | 25 | |
| 2018-19 | 79 | 36 | 64 | 100 | 231 | 15.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 96 | 15 | |
| 2017-18 | 68 | 34 | 51 | 85 | 182 | 18.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 63 | 25 | |
| 2016-17 | 80 | 39 | 46 | 85 | 226 | 17.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 81 | 18 | |
| 2015-16 | 77 | 37 | 24 | 61 | 250 | 14.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 90 | 21 | |
| 2014-15 | 77 | 24 | 18 | 42 | 180 | 13.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 95 | 5 | |
| 2013-14 | 82 | 25 | 28 | 53 | 149 | 16.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 64 | 36 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
