2026-27 projection
68
GP
25
G
47
A
71
Pts
23
PPP
166
SOG
60
Hits
31
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 38Expected 71Ceiling 105
Goals
Floor 14Expected 25Ceiling 36
Assists
Floor 24Expected 46Ceiling 69
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 15% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.9 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 54 (injury), ceiling 74 (full health) vs 68 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±13.1 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 18:48 | 3:54 | 61 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025-26 | 68 | 29 | 45 | 74 | 160 | 18.1 | 23 | 19:18 | 3:06 | 65 | 60 | 30 | 44 | 0 |
| 2024-25 | 80 | 33 | 58 | 91 | 227 | 14.5 | 27 | 20:24 | 3:12 | — | 67 | 39 | 31 | -20 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 42 | 52 | 94 | 278 | 15.1 | 23 | 20:06 | 3:36 | — | 101 | 37 | 40 | 7 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 33 | 60 | 93 | 255 | 12.9 | 27 | 20:06 | 3:54 | — | 71 | 47 | 52 | 8 |
| 2021-22 | 69 | 31 | 53 | 84 | 208 | 14.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 32 | 19 | |
| 2020-21 | 55 | 24 | 38 | 62 | 159 | 15.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | 8 | |
| 2019-20 | 41 | 16 | 31 | 47 | 109 | 14.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | -8 | |
| 2018-19 | 79 | 35 | 65 | 100 | 220 | 15.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 36 | 18 | |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 29 | 60 | 89 | 247 | 11.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 46 | 0 | |
| 2016-17 | 75 | 44 | 45 | 89 | 255 | 17.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 24 | 17 | |
| 2015-16 | 80 | 36 | 49 | 85 | 248 | 14.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 42 | 19 | |
| 2014-15 | 77 | 28 | 56 | 84 | 237 | 11.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 47 | 5 | |
| 2013-14 | 80 | 36 | 68 | 104 | 259 | 13.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 46 | 18 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
