Draft Value vs ADP · 2026-27

Biggest gaps between our projected multi-category value rank and consensus ADP. Positive gap = drafted later than our value (a sleeper); negative = going earlier than the projection supports.

Ranked for Points league — G=3, A=2, PPP=1, SOG=0.4, HIT/BLK=0.3, PIM=0.3. Consensus ADP from espn, fantrax.

💎 Undervalued · draft targets

#	Player	Tm	Pos	Our rank	ADP	Gap	z-value
1	Anton Lundell FLA · C	FLA	C	121	279	+158.0	+252.2
2	Roman Kantserov CHI · R	CHI	R	153	288	+135.0	+228.7
3	Brayden Schenn NYI · C	NYI	C	158	288.4	+130.4	+225.2
4	Anders Lee UTA · L	UTA	L	149	274.1	+125.1	+232.7
5	Matty Beniers SEA · C	SEA	C	143	265	+122.0	+237.1
6	Ben Kindel PIT · C	PIT	C	160	278.1	+118.1	+224.5
7	Blake Coleman MIN · L	MIN	L	146	262.5	+116.5	+235.4
8	Lawson Crouse UTA · L	UTA	L	155	270.4	+115.4	+228.2
9	Marco Rossi VAN · C	VAN	C	152	266.2	+114.2	+229.5
10	Anthony Cirelli TBL · C	TBL	C	148	261.2	+113.2	+233.0
11	Jonathan Marchessault NSH · R	NSH	R	176	289	+113.0	+216.7
12	Will Cuylle NYR · L	NYR	L	77	189.1	+112.1	+288.9
13	Anton Frondell CHI · C	CHI	C	66	175.9	+109.9	+306.5
14	Fabian Zetterlund OTT · L	OTT	L	183	292.5	+109.5	+215.0
15	Shane Pinto OTT · C	OTT	C	165	268.9	+103.9	+222.2
16	Jake DeBrusk VAN · L	VAN	L	133	235.1	+102.1	+243.7
17	Dawson Mercer NJD · C	NJD	C	190	290.2	+100.2	+213.3
18	Elias Lindholm BOS · C	BOS	C	139	238.7	+99.7	+240.8
19	Emmitt Finnie DET · C	DET	C	192	291.2	+99.2	+211.0
20	Pierre-Luc Dubois WSH · C	WSH	C	154	253.1	+99.1	+228.3
21	Jack McBain UTA · C	UTA	C	189	286.6	+97.6	+213.4
22	Vasily Podkolzin EDM · R	EDM	R	184	280.6	+96.6	+214.1
23	Connor McMichael STL · L	STL	L	179	274.6	+95.6	+216.1
24	Kiefer Sherwood SJS · L	SJS	L	87	179.9	+92.9	+281.6
25	Frank Vatrano ANA · R	ANA	R	200	291.6	+91.6	+209.1
26	Emil Heineman NYI · L	NYI	L	188	279.2	+91.2	+213.5
27	Nikita Zadorov BOS · D	BOS	D	194	284.8	+90.8	+210.8
28	Ridly Greig OTT · C	OTT	C	206	293	+87.0	+206.4
29	Mackie Samoskevich SEA · R	SEA	R	201	286.3	+85.3	+208.9
30	Jonathan Huberdeau CGY · L	CGY	L	202	287.2	+85.2	+208.3
31	Sam Bennett FLA · C	FLA	C	68	152.3	+84.3	+302.8
32	Dmitri Voronkov CBJ · L	CBJ	L	207	290	+83.0	+205.6
33	Mason McTavish STL · C	STL	C	136	218	+82.0	+242.0
34	Ryan Leonard WSH · R	WSH	R	124	205.8	+81.8	+246.9
35	Jake Neighbours STL · L	STL	L	195	276.7	+81.7	+210.5
36	Tyler Toffoli SJS · C	SJS	C	168	247.1	+79.1	+221.7
37	Brock Boeser VAN · R	VAN	R	132	210.3	+78.3	+244.1
38	Yakov Trenin MIN · C	MIN	C	208	284.4	+76.4	+204.6
39	James Hagens BOS · C	BOS	C	180	256.3	+76.3	+215.5
40	Tyler Bertuzzi CHI · L	CHI	L	137	212.8	+75.8	+241.6

⚠ Overvalued · ADP reaches

#	Player	Tm	Pos	Our rank	ADP	Gap	z-value
1	Cole Hutson WSH · D	WSH	D	488	124.9	-363.1	+116.7
2	Zayne Parekh CGY · D	CGY	D	545	195.8	-349.2	+102.2
3	Tim Washe ANA · C	ANA	C	624	291.4	-332.6	+76.8
4	Stephen Halliday OTT · C	OTT	C	622	291.4	-330.6	+77.4
5	Rasmus Sandin WSH · D	WSH	D	610	291.2	-318.8	+81.4
6	Chris Tanev TOR · D	TOR	D	599	292.4	-306.6	+86.0
7	Konsta Helenius BUF · C	BUF	C	587	291.7	-295.3	+90.8
8	Maxim Shabanov MIN · R	MIN	R	561	291.8	-269.2	+99.2
9	Chase Reid SEA · D	SEA	D	550	281.1	-268.9	+100.9
10	Simon Nemec CGY · D	CGY	D	416	155	-261.0	+133.7
11	Tyler Seguin DAL · C	DAL	C	530	275.2	-254.8	+105.2
12	Yan Kuznetsov CGY · D	CGY	D	539	293.2	-245.8	+103.1
13	Philip Broberg STL · D	STL	D	413	170.7	-242.3	+134.5
14	Lian Bichsel DAL · D	DAL	D	521	290.7	-230.3	+108.7
15	Ryan Shea EDM · D	EDM	D	519	292.3	-226.7	+109.6
16	Nate Schmidt UTA · D	UTA	D	517	293.3	-223.7	+110.2
17	Brett Pesce NJD · D	NJD	D	515	293.4	-221.6	+110.9
18	John Marino UTA · D	UTA	D	496	290.5	-205.5	+114.5
19	Michael Misa SJS · C	SJS	C	420	217.3	-202.7	+131.6
20	Ryan McDonagh TBL · D	TBL	D	484	291	-193.0	+117.3
21	Marat Khusnutdinov BOS · C	BOS	C	481	292.3	-188.7	+117.6
22	Jamie Drysdale PHI · D	PHI	D	391	204.7	-186.3	+140.7
23	Sam Dickinson SJS · D	SJS	D	445	267.6	-177.4	+125.6
24	Troy Terry ANA · R	ANA	R	338	163	-175.0	+156.5
25	Jared Spurgeon MIN · D	MIN	D	458	291.5	-166.5	+123.3
26	Corey Perry LAK · R	LAK	R	459	293	-166.0	+123.3
27	Alberts Smits NYR · D	NYR	D	455	289.3	-165.7	+123.4
28	Jonas Brodin MIN · D	MIN	D	453	291.7	-161.3	+123.9
29	Jaccob Slavin CAR · D	CAR	D	452	293.1	-158.9	+124.0
30	Gabe Perreault NYR · R	NYR	R	400	244.5	-155.5	+137.9
31	Zeev Buium VAN · D	VAN	D	317	176.2	-140.8	+163.7
32	Rasmus Ristolainen PHI · D	PHI	D	434	293.2	-140.8	+128.4
33	Shea Theodore VGK · D	VGK	D	240	99.9	-140.1	+191.7
34	Joel Edmundson LAK · D	LAK	D	432	292.3	-139.7	+128.7
35	Porter Martone PHI · R	PHI	R	211	74.8	-136.2	+203.0
36	Matvei Gridin CGY · R	CGY	R	412	276.2	-135.8	+135.2
37	Alex Newhook MTL · C	MTL	C	427	291.3	-135.7	+129.7
38	Drew Doughty LAK · D	LAK	D	424	289.4	-134.6	+130.1
39	Bowen Byram CHI · D	CHI	D	237	103.4	-133.6	+192.3
40	Sam Rinzel CHI · D	CHI	D	422	293.6	-128.4	+130.9